Strategy, Approach and Statistics

We moved to a new home.

We launched paid real time alerts. Please visit us at http://www.MyWealthyOptions.com

For questions, write to us at info@mywealthyoptions.com


You may want to investigate other newsletters like Booking Alpha, Benzinga Cash Generator, Benzinga Options and Volatility, Glinser Services, The Option Wiz for the real time alerts and auto trading experience. Commission plays a bigger role in improving the profitability of spread trades. It may be a good idea to open an account with low cost brokerage firm like Options House (100 free trades) to give extra punch to your gains.



Sunday, December 23, 2012

Happy Holidays – Promotional Subscription Payments

Hi,

 

Track Record as of 12/21/2012 is updated on MyWealthyOptions.com.


Hope you are enjoying subscription to Aggressive/ Guarded/ Both Newsletters (if subscribed). We think July/August losses are behind us and trading has been looking good in Q4, 2012. We encourage you to provide your feedback.


Promotional prices are launched today and are extended to all existent members. Simply, signup at http://www.mywealthyoptions.com/promotional-prices-limited-time/ to initiate new periodic payment.


Happy Holidays!


Disclaimer: Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and there is no guarantee that the views and opinions expressed on our website/newsletter will come to pass. Investing in the stock market involves risks and may not be suitable for all investors.




Sunday, November 4, 2012

Track Record Updated

Hi,

Track Record as of October end 2012 is updated. See the track record by clicking here

MyWealthyOptions will post the Market Outlook after the President's Election.



Wednesday, May 9, 2012

Members Update 05/09/2012

Broader market should be consolidating at current levels prior to making any directional move. We will be using the current volatility to deploy more fundamental back-month positions. Diagonal Spread remains our favorite strategy in a directional market.

Aggressive Play - PG signal was executed today realizing 15% gains. Now, only a quarter is invested of our maximum position size (8). Approximately, 83% gains are booked in aggressive play since the launch of auto trading on April 13. We are comfortable holding FXI, HLF and WHR positions. HLF roll is on cards, but such a move will be risky if HLF surprises to significant upside. Let's wait and watch. HLF is holding well at current levels.


Guarded Play - PG signal was executed today realizing 15% gains. Count as 30% gain, as it was a double position. The only open position RGR is at breakeven

New Members - Developers are working on a members' area. Until then, all signals will continue to be issued via emails.

Several of you asked questions about our stock-picking  style and basis. Analysis at MWO is based on:
1. Fundamentals (earnings power)
2. Technical's (overbought, oversold, support, resistances)
3. Broader market conditions
4. Actions of other analysts (buy, sell ratings)

Both Aggressive and Guarded deploy similar strategies but stock picking style is different. For Guarded, long leg of the spread is mostly back-month. More, we do not open a signal in the Guarded play unless the entire above criterion is green. Probably that's the reason for having just 1 loser out of 15 trades so far. Guarded Play is sitting at 82% booked gains. Of course, aggressive is higher risk/reward trades and thus a more volatile play. In long run, the Aggressive Play should outperform though past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.

Fortunately, MWO newsletters didn't lose a penny in this wild swing of the market. There will be times when patience will be tested. Hedging is always a good strategy, but it comes with a cost and negatively impacts net gains. MWO deploys hedging at critical thresholds. MWO has mental stop losses, but rarely trades with a stop loss. In most case, we are aware of that the short leg of the diagonal/calendar spread will expire worthless if the stock moves against us. This strategy gives some cushion to our signals.

Responses to the emails of subscribers are generally specific in 1-3 lines. This may not sound very professional. Our professionals come from lean six sigma background and avoid wastage. More, MWO is limited in bandwidth with only 24 paid subscribers as of today (it's only a month since the launch of paid service). We like to spend our energy analyzing stocks for the newsletters.

Many a times, several emails are issued in a day to open/close a position. This is to fill signals at the best available prices. This might have caused missed opportunities. It may be annoying; still, there is no strong reason yet to change this strategy. 

Auto trading is active in both Global and eOption. They are GREAT! Entry and exit prices of the signals are based upon the fill price reported by auto-traders. We do good record keeping of those emails. Track record is objective, complete, and straight forward. If you find a discrepancy, let us know for us to fix; it is done inadvertently. Track record is not adjusted for Commissions. MWO is trading its own alerts!!!

MWO tries to keep each option contract signal under $6.50. It may go as high as $10 for large-cap stocks like Apple, Google, etc.

It is important that each of the signals is executed to balance long and short positions. We try to provide concise commentary, but sometimes subscribers may not realize that a signal is only a hedge, so not intended for gain. If you make money, take it off the table or relish account if there are unfortunate losses. Whatever money a subscriber wants to risk, he/she should divide it into 8 equal parts. On an average about 4 positions are open, but be prepared for 8. It might be dangerous if one doesn't trade a hedge due to $$ short in the account. In spite of all, traders can still lose money. We are sure that you must have heard about success and failures of newsletters in the marketplace. See www.investimonials.com for review of newsletters. One's judgment is the best suited to determine his risk profile.

MWO does not entertain comparison with other newsletters. Newsletters differ in strategies, philosophies, and style. There are always good and bad times for all. Trading success is never a guarantee even for the most sophisticated, and knowledgeable professionals. Probably, we are the youngest and least informed among available newsletter publishers. At MWO, We recognize and appreciate efforts of our competitors. 

Hope this email answers some of the frequently asked questions.

As usual, we encourage you to review us at investimonials.

MWO



Wednesday, April 11, 2012

New Home

We moved to a new home. Please visit us at www.MyWealthyOptions.com  


All the registered emails on this blog will continue to receive free newsletters. Open positions will be available to only paid members starting April 15, 2012. 


Feel free to post any feedback to us at info@mywealthyoptions.com 


We are excited and Thank You for visiting us!


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Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Most positions closed

Please see the blog  


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Updates to the "Last 10 trades" section of the blog will be made shortly.



Monday, April 9, 2012

Added SPX Credit Spread

SPX credit spread is added 

4/9 at 11:18AM - S&P 50 day moving average is at 1370. Maximum profit potential is (1.05/3.95) if the position expire worthless on Apr 13.  


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Updates to the "Last 10 trades" section of the blog will be made shortly.



Added EWZ calls

Added EWZ calls. Please see the blog for details 


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Updates to the "Last 10 trades" section of the blog will be made shortly.



Saturday, April 7, 2012

Personal Executions

There was a question to me for personal executions. I thought it's a good idea to add this as a post and thanks to all who already subscribed to the alerts. From 4/16, only closed trades will be posted on the website. Compliance advisors are working on the disclosures, membership agreement, and terms. A full website will be launched in April 2012, yes, within 2 weeks.
 -------
Till date, 90% of trades are executed in my personal account and at the prices displayed in the track record. FAQs are forward looking and there will be a time when I will not be able to execute several trades in my account. See the executions emails below for the said two trades. You pick a trade from the track record, and I should be able to forward an execution alert. Other 10% were the thoughts.

I am very choosy and sometimes it takes 2-hours before execution. As subscribers grow, probably I might have to relax the maximum entry and exit price which will result in comparatively lower gains. Feel free to watch for some time prior to making a decision.

Thanks for writing.



Apr 05, 2012
UXXXXXXX   BOT TLT-COMB XX@0.33

ALERT: UXXXXXXX BOT TLT-COMB XX@0.33 as of 2012-04-05 15:14:16 
Interactive Brokers
Interactive Brokers LLC, member NYSEFINRASIPC


Apr 05, 2012
UXXXXXXX BOT VXX-COMB XX@1.26

ALERT: UXXXXXXX BOT 
VXX-COMB XX@1.26 as of 2012-04-05 15:07:30 
Interactive Brokers
Interactive Brokers LLC, member NYSEFINRASIPC

Added more executions for 04/05 (SPY, SPX are not added as I have to add two separate alerts because Tradeking sends separate emails for the legs of spread).
Interactive Brokers - The Professional's Gateway to the World's Markets
Apr 05, 2012
UXXXXXXX   SOLD TLT-COMB XX@1.15

ALERT: UXXXXXXX SOLD TLT-COMB XX@1.15 as of 2012-04-05 13:37:43 
Interactive Brokers
Interactive Brokers LLC, member NYSEFINRASIPC


Interactive Brokers - The Professional's Gateway to the World's Markets
Apr 04, 2012
UXXXXXXX SOLD TLT-COMB XX@1.21

ALERT: UXXXXXXX SOLD 
TLT-COMB XX@1.21 as of 2012-04-04 10:01:43 
Interactive Brokers
Interactive Brokers LLC, member NYSEFINRASIPC


Interactive Brokers - The Professional's Gateway to the World's Markets
Apr 04, 2012
UXXXXXXX   BOT TLT-COMB XX@0.99

ALERT: UXXXXXXX BOT 
TLT-COMB XX@0.99 as of 2012-04-04 12:54:47 
Interactive Brokers
Interactive Brokers LLC, member NYSEFINRASIPC




Market Outlook 4/9/12

Market looks like oversold, but a dip is not ruled out, followed by compensatory bounce.

Corporate earnings are expected to be weak, which will begin pouring in next week. We look forward to opening put spreads for June and hedging those positions with back dated call spreads.

Home builders, retailers, global market ETFs, look oversold. A drop in the market should give an opportunity to open back dated call spreads. VXX will become attractive if market bounces back.

More, FAZ and FAS always move in opposite direction 3 times the movement of banking index. I may open both positions in conservative portfolio.

S&P Support: 1390, 1377
S&P Resistance: 1401, 1418

Two open positions:
Job numbers was a disappointment on Friday. Traders may panic sell in the Morning on Monday causing both VXX and TLT to rise. If supports kick in at 1390, market will show compensatory bounce as it will coincide with the oversold conditions giving additional momentum.

Target: 1.50
VXX Calendar Spread
(Sell APR 13 '12 18 Call
Buy may 19 '12 18 Call)

Target: 0.50 (I will watch this position closely; this may double the position if TLT stays within 112-115 range)
TLT Calendar Spread
(Sell APR 13 '12 113 Call
Buy APR 20 '12 113 Call)


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MyWealthyOptions
info@MyWealthyOptions.com


Thursday, April 5, 2012

Two positions opened

All positions are closed for a nice gain and two new positions are initiated. These were executed in my personal account around 3PM. 

Look at the statistics so far.


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Several positions are closed

Several positions are closed. Please see my blog for details. I look forward to new positions in an hour. 


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Wednesday, April 4, 2012

Several Positions initiated

Several Positions are initiated. Please see the blog. I am expecting
S&P to hold 1390 by the close of Thursday.

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Updates to the "Last 10 trades" section of the blog will be made shortly.

Tuesday, April 3, 2012

Closed: Position 68 added: TLT Spread

Position 68 is closed at $0.86 in a day trade for 18% profits. TLT is
volatile after FOMC minutes. I am booking profit in this day trade a
little less than $0.90 target.

----------
TLT Calendar Spread at $0.74
(Sell APR 05 '12 112 Call
Buy APR 20 '12 112 Call)

Comments:  Market is expected to rise which will result in price drop
of TLT. A rollover to next week is likely if position doesn't perform
on expected lines. Target $0.90+


--


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Closed: First Position on Hedged Balanced Portfolio

Below position is closed at $2.10.

Comments: Closed for a decent gain in a day. It may give even better
returns by Friday, but I do want to start this portfolio by a winning
trade. I am superstitious, so an early exit.

-----------------
VXX Calendar Spread at $ 1.77
(Sell APR 05 '12 17 Call
Buy JUN 15 '12 17 Call)

Comments: VXX will stay low in the near-term and a bounce back in the
summer is a possibility. I will let the short leg expire on Apr 05 or
rollover to generate additional rental income.

Position 69 added: SPY Calendar Spread

SPY Calendar Spread
(Sell APR 05 '12 142 Call
Buy APR 20 '12 142 Call)

Comments: Trade should be profitable if SPY closes between 141 and 143
on Thursday

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Position 68 added: TLT Spread

TLT Calendar Spread at $0.74
(Sell APR 05 '12 112 Call
Buy APR 20 '12 112 Call)

Comments:  Market is expected to rise which will result in price drop
of TLT. A rollover to next week is likely if position doesn't perform
on expected lines. Target $0.90+

Monday, April 2, 2012

Added first position on Hedged Balanced Portfolio

VXX Calendar Spread at $ 1.77  
(Sell APR 05 '12 17 Call 
Buy JUN 15 '12 17 Call) 

Comments: VXX will stay low in the near-term and a bounce back in the summer is a possibility. I will let the short leg expire on Apr 05 or rollover to generate additional rental income. 

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Updates to the "Last 10 trades" section of the blog will be made shortly.



Friday, March 23, 2012

Position 63: position 62 doubled

SPY Butterfly at $1.20
(+ MAR 30 '12 136 Call 
- MAR 30 '12 139 Call 
- MAR 30 '12 139 Call 
+ MAR 30 '12 142 Call)


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Potent position 62: SPY Butterfly

SPY Butterfly at $1.25 
(+ MAR 30 '12 136 Call 
- MAR 30 '12 139 Call 
- MAR 30 '12 139 Call 
+ MAR 30 '12 142 Call)

Comments: My order is working. I will count it as a trade if execution takes place. I am expecting a market drop on Monday. Today's mild rally is due to oversold market conditions.


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Thursday, March 22, 2012

Position 61 added: SPY Diagonal Spread

SPY Diagonal Spread at $1.67 
(Sell MAR 23 '12 139 Call
Buy APR 20 '12 139 Call)

Comments: one day trade for 10% gain


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Position 59 and 60 closed for decent gains

Please see the blog 


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Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Pullback Coming 3-5%

A market pullback of 3-5% is expected shortly (as early as tomorrow). I'd leave my FAZ position open for few more days. There will be no trade today.
 
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Monday, March 19, 2012

Position 60: FAZ Call Spread

FAZ Vertical Call Spread at $0.62 
(Sell APR 22 '12 22 Call  
Buy APR 22 '12 20 Call )   

Comments: Same as position 59. Position doubled. I am expecting a market pullback.

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Updates to the "Last 10 trades" section of the blog will be made shortly.



Friday, March 16, 2012

Position 59 Added

FAZ Vertical Call Spread at $0.80 
(Sell APR 22 '12 22 Call 
Buy APR 22 '12 20 Call ) 

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Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Position 58 added

Please see the bog 


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Updates to the "Last 10 trades" section of the blog will be made shortly.



Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Hostorical Day

What a DAY!!! 

Market blew on the higher side breaking through multiple resistances. Probably, it was due to the rollover of positions (this is options' expiration week). Several bears may still be left caught on the short side of the market. Either they will further give tailwind to the market on the upside or will try to take it lower. Shorts are truly bleeding over the last couple of months. S&P has resistance around 1400, so not sure if the market is seriously in uncharted territory form today. 

I closed QQQ Put Diagonal spreads today realizing the worst single day loss of 2012. There are several opportunities in the market, but have no courage to add a position on the blog. I get nervous if there is no support/resistance in place. Pair trades or calendar calls may be a good idea, but I do want to take a moment prior to making any move. Entire portfolio is in cash and still have huge gains so far in 2012. Let me remind you of SPY, QQQ dividend this Friday, so any calls may be negatively impacted.

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Updates to the "Last 10 trades" section of the blog will be made shortly.



Friday, March 9, 2012

Position 56 added

+ MOS 20120316P57.5 XX@2.06 as of 2012-03-09 10:38:17  (see the blog) 

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Thursday, March 8, 2012

Position 55 added

Please see the blog. Executions were difficult, but it came after an hour's wait.

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Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Position 54 added

Please see the blog

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Position 53 Closed

Please see the blog


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Tuesday, March 6, 2012

Alert 53 : SPY Diagonal Spread

SPY Butterfly at $1.36 
(+ MAR 09 '12 133 Call 
- MAR 09 '12 136 Call 
- MAR 09 '12 136 Call 
+ MAR 09 '12 139 Call)

Comments: SPY has a support at 134.30. The trade will be profitable if SPY closes between 134.36 and 137.64 by closing on March 09, 2012. 

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Monday, March 5, 2012

Alert 52 : TEX Calls

+ TEX APR20 '12 22 Call at $2.50 


Comments: Speculative trade for a market rebound. Given the market conditions, I will trade it with a 20% stop loss, which will hit just below the support at $22.50. 

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Sunday, March 4, 2012

600% Gains as of March 1st, 2012

Market always present several stocks on the long and short sides. Nasdaq has been rallying on the strength of Apple. Apple ipad news may drive the market on Wednesday specially the semiconductor and WiFi data providers. For Monday, I look forward to trading either of SPY, QQQ, Sears, Wynn, Russell 2000 Index fund. It may a smart idea to open a long-term GLD position. 1700/1650 is the strong support for the gold. A specific stock pick depends upon the market action. 

I'd either close or rollover open QQQ positions this week. Note that a dividend on March 16 is favoring the put spreads. It is likely that GILD will return about 50% gains if market doesn't retreat balancing the losses on the open QQQ positions. This is the primary reason for not closing GILD position so far.

Overall, the portfolio is in the great shape. Over 600% gains are booked so far, and the portfolio is up 80%. 

Enjoy reading this great educational resource.

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Thursday, March 1, 2012

Closed position 50 at 28% Gain

Please see the blog for details.


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Closed Position 51 for 15% Gains in 1-Day

Closed Position 51 for 15% Gains in 1-Day 

Comments: It may fall further, but I do want to book gains at target price.

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Wednesday, February 29, 2012

Target for position 50

Target for position 50 is $1.65 for today in case market drops. We will have a new target tomorrow if there are no execution today. 

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Alert 51: WHR Put

+ APR20 '12 77.5 Put at $4.70 


Comments: Speculative trade on an overbought stock for a quick 20% gain


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Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Alert 49 : GILD Calls Adjustment

Sold  GILD MAR16 '12 46 Call at a credit of $1.47 

Comments: Net cost for GILD position is $0.83 (2.30-1.47).


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Monday, February 27, 2012

Market will Peak-Out This Week

GILD is the only long position for March expiry which I'd either close or convert to spread by selling 45/46 call. It is likely that market will peak out this week at least for the short term. VIX beginning to rise again, and it seems traders are protecting gains for a potential pullback. I am considering a VIX spread as well.

It may be a good idea to protect the long positions or buy back-month calls.

Friday, February 24, 2012

Alert 50 - SPY Butterfly

SPY Butterfly at $1.23
(Buy MAR 02 '12 139 Call
Sell MAR 02 '12 136 Call
Sell MAR 02 '12 136 Call
Buy MAR 02 '12 133 Call)

Comments: My order is open and will track it only if this signal gets execution. The trade is placed assuming that the SPY will trade between 135 and 138 by closing on March 02, 2012. 


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Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Alert 49 : GILD Calls

GILD MAR16 '12 44 Call at $2.30  

Comments: Speculative play. Stock hammered 20% in last 5-day period and should give a pop if market holds well. This should also balance short positions. I am also watching home builders ETF for potential long positions.


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Tuesday, February 21, 2012

Closed alert 48 for 38% Gains

Closed alert 48 for 38% Gains

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Friday, February 17, 2012

Alert 47: IR Put

IR MAR16 '12 41 Put at $1.30

Comments: Stock is overbought. This is an out of money, speculative put. I will quickly get out on any 20% gain or will convert to spread.

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Thursday, February 16, 2012

Close alert 43: TLT at $1.28

Close alert 43: TLT at $1.28


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Wednesday, February 15, 2012

Alert 42: Closed for 12% Gains

TTWO position is closed. Please visit the blog for more information on this trade. 


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Tuesday, February 14, 2012

Alert 46 Closed: Target Met

OPEN position is closed. Please see the blog for details.

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Monday, February 13, 2012

Guestimates aren't Working

It was interesting to read a number of different views of market pundits over the weekend. It was evident through the fact that TLT rose along with broader market. Typically, TLT and QQQ/SPY have inverse correlation. Predictions begin to diverge though still most traders have an upward bias. 

Market bears caught up on the wrong side will be forced to roll over in the current options' expiration week. The week should have limited downside, if any. 

Market may drift lower beginning succeeding week. On that hypothesis, I initiated few conservative bearish calls for the following month. Another 2% rise shouldn't sweat us. TLT and QQQ inverse relationship should keep the portfolio in balance.

IR looks like a perfect short. It is extremely overbought, but an upgrade kept me away from this stock.

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Alert 46: Diagonal Call Spread

OPEN Diagonal Call Spread at a debit of $4.60
(Sell FEB 17 '12 45 Call 
Buy MAR 16 '12 40 Call) 

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Alert 45 - QQQ Put Spread

QQQ Diagonal Put Spread at a debit of $1.44 
(Sell MAR 16 '12 63 Put 
Buy MAR 30 '12 65 Put) 

Comments: Market is not able to break overhead resistance. Bond prices didn't fall in spite of market strength indicating large investors are churning their portfolio by adding bonds. Volatility Index is rising. It could be a short term top. 


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Friday, February 10, 2012

Another Great Week, $12,711 Gains in 2012 as of 02/10/2012

Market pulled back this week after several positive weeks in a row. Marget never got into a positive territory unlike previous pullbacks over the last four weeks.   VIX is spiking; indicating short-term top in the market. SPY 1350 continues to be a strong resistance. It will be interesting to watch Feb options' expiration week. I am expecting lackluster March options' month though next week will be volatile.

Nice gains were booked this week, in spite of rolling over losses from prior week. All three positions open today are spreads, so we will use the spread legs to our advantage depending upon the tide in the market. Positions are well balanced leaving about 70% of portfolio in cash.

2012 Portfolio Statistics
Total Gain (All Trades) 508%
Average Gain/Trade 12%
Portfolio Gain           $12,711 (64%)
Win Rate                 80%
Average Held Days 3.34


Talk to you next week.


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Alert 44 - QQQ Diagonal Spread

QQQ Diagonal Put Spread at a debit of $2.24 
(Sell MAR 16 '12 63 Put 
Buy MAR 30 '12 66 Put) 

Comments: It's a portfolio balancing act. Market isn't rallying like every other pullback. TTWO Feb calls are also sold to collect premium.


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Alert 43 - TLT Calendar Spread

TLT 116 Calendar Call Spread
(Sell FEB 17 '12 116 Call
Buy MAR 16 '12 116 Call)

Comments: Bonds are in medium term downtrend but rallying on the weakness in the market. Target : $1.50 or rollover to next week

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Alert 42 : New Position

Buy TTWO Mar16'12 15 Call at $1.25

Comments: Jim Cramer likes the stock. Potential support at 15.72 and huge open interest for any short covering potential. I will sell Feb call to make it a spread if  stock moves higher.

Feb 10, 2012

UXXX5008 BOT TTWO 20120316C15 XXX@1.25


ALERT: UXXXXXXX BOT TTWO 20120316C15 XXX@1.25 as of 2012-02-10 11:51:45 


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Several Position Closed

Please see the blog. Decent gains are booked for the week. 

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Thursday, February 9, 2012

Targets for Open Positions

NFLX Diagonal Spreads : $2.30 
RHT Veritical Spread: $0.85 to $0.90 

Comments: I suggest to close NFLX positions tomorrow. RHT should have a GTC order in place to realize 40-50% gains.


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Several Positions Closed

Comments: Several losing positions are closed. SPY is trading well above 135 and should act as a support going forward. RHT is well above 48 levels and if it stays here for another week we should have 67% gain on this trade compensating losses of all closed positions today. NFLX positions are in money as well.


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Wednesday, February 8, 2012

Market Consolidation

It seems the market is consolidating and finding resistance around SPY 135 levels. The action in the market is really surprising and may push the market even taller if SPY 135 holds well. There are plenty of people caught up on the short side of the market and will be forced to rollover/ close their positions giving tailwind to a move higher. 

We should do well this week if the market closes on Friday at a level trading today. NFLX couldn't sustain above 127. NFLX 120 to downside and 127 to the upside are the levels to watch to protect this trade. Doubling a position doesn't bode well with my portfolio! Trade is still favorable at the close today.

There were enough opportunities to close SPY diagonal spread today, but RHT was not high enough to act on that potential trade. This is a balancing act. Portfolio will do fairly in spite of gains/losses from individual trades.

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Alert 41 - NFLX Calendar Spread

Netflix Calendar Spread for $1.80  
- FEB 10 '12 + FEB 17 '12 130 Call 

Comments: Doubled the position same as alert #40 at the market open today. This trade will be profitable if NFLX price settles between 120 to 135 on Feb 10, Friday. NFLX will have resistance at 133 and support at 120.

Feb 08, 2012

UXXX5008 BOT NFLX-COMB -@1.8


ALERT: UXXXXXXX BOT NFLX-COMB -@1.8 as of 2012-02-08 09:32:37 


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Tuesday, February 7, 2012

Alert 40 - Netflix Calendar Spread for $1.95

Netflix Calendar Spread for $1.95 
- FEB 10 '12 + FEB 17 '12 130 Call

Comments: Highly speculative position. This trade will be profitable if NFLX price settles between 125 to 135 on Feb 10, Friday. NFLX will have resistance at 133 and support at 120.

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Position #35 and #37 closed

Please see the track record for details. 

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Monday, February 6, 2012

Neutral Positions for Mild Pullback or Rally

Tech and Banks are leading the market. If banks continue to lead, market may go higher another 2-3%. I am expecting a mild pullback before another leg of a market rally. On an intra day basis, market is showing strong and hardly any pullback can sustain. Greece is the likely news for the next couple of days.

After closing GS puts for a nice gain, and adding a position on the long side, portfolio is evenly balanced. Two positions are in the money, and other two are at a loss. Overall, today's trade was an attempt to improve the likelihood of weekly gains after rolling-over loss making positions from the previous week. 

NFLX looks interesting speculative play. Banks are overbought, but aren't giving up gains. Large BAC calls are bought by speculators. There are several stocks on my watch list. Due to lack of technical support and resistances, my move will be conservative with the objective of preserving capital. 

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Alert 38 - RHT Vertical Spread for a debit of $0.60

Buy 17FEB2012 47 Call
Sell 17FEB2012 48 Call

Comments: The purpose is to balance the portfolio by adding a call to our open positons. 

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Alert 36 Closed at $3.55 Credit

Alert 36 Closed at $3.55 Credit

Comments: It may give more if market goes down, but let's book gains as our entire portfolio is on the short side. More than 50% of the portfolio is in cash now.

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Friday, February 3, 2012

Challenging Week, $11,000 Gains in 2012 as of 02/03/2012

After four consecutive weeks of about 100% gains/week, we were stopped out today. Seagate's strong results and EMN upgrade by Goldman Sach led to first losing week in 2012. Profit on TXN, CMI, and STJ trades was not enough to overcome losses of STX and EMN.

Refer to 01/27 post, this week is historically bullish and validated the record. Historically, following week should be weak, so I am mostly shorting the market. With market hitting 3-year high, it was a conscious decision to enter convervative/hedged bearish positions. Next week should be in-money provided S&P closes below 1350. 

A few autotraders and bears are caught up on the wrong side of the market. I will watch their moves. S&P 1350 should act as a resistance, if not, market may go higher another 2% before a decent pullback. 

45% of the portfolio is in cash (additional premium is collected for GS, SPY Diagonal spreads) to take advantage of any market opportunity.

Every week cannot be profitable. In spite of losses this week, the portfolio is still had $11,000 gains. Open positions are losing $15,00 approximately.

I am looking forward to the following week.

Some of you are asking for the real time alerts. I am planning to start offering real time alerts from Q2, 2012. In the meantime, please send me an email if you got an opening trade execution. I will take my best effort to communicate  closing signals prior to posting them on the website.

Talk to you next week.

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Alert 37: SPY Diagonal Put Spread

SPY Diagonal Spread at a Debit of $2.44

(Sell FEB 10 '12 135 Put
Buy FEB 17 '12 138 Put)

Comments: Do not open this position if you think that portfolio is Put biased. Market is all about risk, and I do believe that SPY will face resistance at 135. This will be the 5th open position leaving 45% of the portfolio in cash. I am putting money where my mouth is.



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Alert 36- Collected additional premium

Sell GS 10Feb12 115 Put and collect $1.34

Comments: Net cost for the trade is $3.06 ($4.40 - $1.34)

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New and Closed Postions

Alert 33 Close: Closed EMN at a credit of $1.55

Alert 36 : Buy GS 17Feb12 120 Put at a deibit of $4.40

Comments: I am really rolling over put positions from EMN to GS. I will sell Feb 10 GS Put to collect some premium.

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Mid-Day Update

Today is the testing time for us. Not only, the employment numbers lifted the stock market, but also Zacks and Goldman Sach upgraded Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) to "Buy". This is not the first-time  things are working against my wish. CMI calls closed early this week could have been fetching 300% gains today. Any ways let's be forward looking.

Rollover early in the morning helped to reduce the cost of SPY diagonal spread by $1.02. This may still be a profitable trade if market takes a breather next week. If the market continues to go, higher and SPY settles at 136, we will only have about 30% loss on this trade. At 11:58PM, SPY positions are at 20% loss.

The price action is similar to 2011 where everything was positive, and then we never touched those highs for entire 2011. I will stay cautious.

I may consider closing EMN position at a loss if stock doesn't show any weakness though stock is very overbought at this time.

We are still making huge gains for 2012. 

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Alert 19 - VIX Position Closed

VIX Diagonal Spread is closed for a credit of $3.20

Comments: Risk/Reward is no more attractive.

--


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Adjustment to Alert #32 and #34

SPY Diagonal Spread Rollover at a credit of $1.02 
(Buy FEB 03 '12 133 Put
Sell FEB 10 '12 134 Put)

Comments: let's rollover to next week

Thursday, February 2, 2012

Texas Instruments Position closed at 11% Gain

Texas Instruments position was closed later in the day for 11% gain in just three days. You will still have a chance, probably at a better price, if you didn't execute it yet.

Short leg of SPY spread (Feb 03) will expire tomorrow. Either we will close the position (Target $3.15) or rollover to the next week for even greater profit. The best gains will come if SPY settles at 133. It means that a slight upside will bring more gains in SPY, and a down market should help EMN position. At the market close today, all positions are in money (or at break even) and I am expecting over 10% gains tomorrow.

I hope executions were easy today for all of you. Above 18% gains tomorrow should close the week in the positive territory. 

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Alert 35 - SPY Diagonal Spread for Next Week

SPY Diagonal Spread for a debit of $2.38
(Sell FEB 10 '12 133 Put
Buy FEB 17 '12 136 Put)

Comments: I am expecting beginning of a downtrend next week. This position will be profitable upto SPY 134 by Feb 10.

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Alert 34 - SPY Diagonal Spread

SPY Diagonal Spread for a debit of $2.93 
(Sell FEB 03 '12 133 Put
Buy FEB 17 '12 136 Put)

Comments: Already a similar position (#32) exist. I have doubled the position.

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Wednesday, February 1, 2012

DOW Overhead Resistance at 12750

It was a mixed day. Market started the day higher, but couldn't sustain DOW 12750 levels. Market was led by technology and banks. Money is rotating between sectors, so there are opportunities, but overall the market is not rising beyond the overhead resistance. Fantastic-5 (see my post on Friday) is historically bullish. I expect this week to be range-bound, but be prepared for a pullback starting next week.

STX led the tech stocks by gaining approximately 20%. Earlier in the day, I thought to hold STX for a potential pullback, but later overcame the emotions and decided to exit the trade. Over 15% gain on CMI in 1-day was good enough reason to close the position. We are still making money for the current week (15% booked gains)!

Two trades are initiated today anticipating flat to bearish market action. Part of the reason to initiate puts was to balance long position on Texas instruments.

All open positions are in the money. TXN is leading the gain, and my target is $2.20.

Talk to you tomorrow.

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Alert 32 - SPY Diagonal Spread

SPY Diagonal Spread for a debit of $2.93
(Sell FEB 03 '12 133 Put
Buy FEB 17 '12 136 Put)

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Closed Positions 29, 30, 31

Please see MyWealthyOptions.blogspot.com for details.

An order for a credit of $2.20 for Texas position is placed and site will be updated after execution.

We are back in cash. 

Open Positions Update

Position # 19 (VIX) - trading at $3.20 (bought at $3.15), target $4.0

Position # 28 (TXN) - trading at $2.16 (bought at $1.99), target $2.20

Position # 29 (STX) - trading at $1.15 (bought at $2.06) - STX reported better than expected results, which pushed the stock higher by 17%. This position is sitting at a loss of 45%. STX Put option is for the month of June. Let us continue to hold.

Position # 30 (CMI) - trading at $5.15 (bought at $4.40) - CMI will report the financial results tomorrow morning. To avoid STX kind of situation, I will consider selling Feb 105/110 call against this position to manage risk.

Position # 31 (STJ) - trading at $2.50 (bought at $2.55)

Overall, open positions are sitting at about 15% loss (compare with 489% gains in January). This represents the power of risk management in the portfolio. 

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Tuesday, January 31, 2012

First Review at Investimonials

I am excited to share the first review of MyWealthOptions blog at Investimonials. Review can be read at  http://investimonials.com/blogs/reviews-mywealthyoptions.aspx 

THANKS Candide! I read it repeatedly and will memorize Jan 31, 2012 as a significant milestone.

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Closed Jan 2012 with 489% Gains

S&P is in range-bound between 1300 and 1332 for a while. Technicals are not signalling if the market is consolidating for a move higher or ready to pull back. VIX is rising silently. Market is likely to pullback following week, if S&P doesn't cross the overhead resistance at 1332.

STX reported better than expected results after the market close. This position will lose. about 20% maximum, if the stock goes higher by 10%. Purposely, I entered into a long-term option contract to mitigate such a risk. Rollover is another option to still close the position with gain.

Portfolio is well-balanced and is in a position to cushion any market shock:
- 3 positions for flat market - STX, TXN, VIX
- 1 bullishing postion - CMI
- 1 bearish position - STJ

Let's be conscious of the market conditions and not be adventurous. Hope is not a game plan.

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